For the past few months, mortgage rates have remained fairly stable, in the mid-six percent range. Although the stability that we’ve seen is a good thing, the levels they’ve stabilized at are quite a bit higher than recent historical averages. This, of course, is one of the leading causes of the affordability issues that we’ve seen recently.
It is worth noting, though, that we might see some discounted rates toward the back half of the year. Although the Fed has not touched the federal funds rate in nearly a year, the Fed chairman has signaled that one to two rate cuts are expected by the end of the year, so long as there aren’t any further spikes in inflation.
What we have been seeing in terms of inventories in California has been echoed on a nationwide scale. Fewer homes are being sold, with 1.95% fewer existing home sales when compared to this time last year. At the same time, 9.95% more new listings have hit the market on a year-over-year basis. This has led overall inventory to increase by a whopping 20.31% on a year-over-year basis.
As inventories are piling up, negotiating power will slowly shift from the sellers to the buyers, as buyers have more opportunities, and don’t need to move nearly as quickly as they had to just a year earlier.
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